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Answer for questions of repeated measurements of variance analysis and distribution test of data — Authors

《医学前沿(英文)》 2022年 第16卷 第4期   页码 661-664 doi: 10.1007/s11684-021-0907-9

Integrating storm surge modeling with traffic data analysis to evaluate the effectiveness of hurricane

《结构与土木工程前沿(英文)》 2021年 第15卷 第6期   页码 1301-1316 doi: 10.1007/s11709-021-0765-1

摘要: An integrated storm surge modeling and traffic analysis were conducted in this study to assess the effectiveness of hurricane evacuations through a case study of Hurricane Irma. The Category 5 hurricane in 2017 caused a record evacuation with an estimated 6.8 million people relocating statewide in Florida. The Advanced Circulation (ADCIRC) model was applied to simulate storm tides during the hurricane event. Model validations indicated that simulated pressures, winds, and storm surge compared well with observations. Model simulated storm tides and winds were used to estimate the area affected by Hurricane Irma. Results showed that the storm surge and strong wind mainly affected coastal counties in south-west Florida. Only moderate storm tides (maximum about 2.5 m) and maximum wind speed about 115 mph were shown in both model simulations and Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) post-hurricane assessment near the area of hurricane landfall. Storm surges did not rise to the 100-year flood elevation level. The maximum wind was much below the design wind speed of 150–170 mph (Category 5) as defined in Florida Building Code (FBC) for south Florida coastal areas. Compared with the total population of about 2.25 million in the six coastal counties affected by storm surge and Category 1–3 wind, the statewide evacuation of approximately 6.8 million people was found to be an over-evacuation due mainly to the uncertainty of hurricane path, which shifted from south-east to south-west Florida. The uncertainty of hurricane tracks made it difficult to predict the appropriate storm surge inundation zone for evacuation. Traffic data were used to analyze the evacuation traffic patterns. In south-east Florida, evacuation traffic started 4 days before the hurricane’s arrival. However, the hurricane path shifted and eventually landed in south-west Florida, which caused a high level of evacuation traffic in south-west Florida. Over-evacuation caused Evacuation Traffic Index (ETI) to increase to 200% above normal conditions in some sections of highways, which reduced the effectiveness of evacuation. Results from this study show that evacuation efficiency can be improved in the future by more accurate hurricane forecasting, better public awareness of real-time storm surge and wind as well as integrated storm surge and evacuation modeling for quick response to the uncertainty of hurricane forecasting.

关键词: storm surge modeling     traffic     evacuation     Hurricane Irma    

Effectiveness of state incentives for promoting wind energy: A panel data examination

Deepak SANGROYA,Jogendra NAYAK

《能源前沿(英文)》 2015年 第9卷 第3期   页码 247-258 doi: 10.1007/s11708-015-0364-8

摘要: Over the last decade, India has started to concentrate earnestly on renewable energy. The Indian government, as well as different state governments, are adopting policy instruments such as feed in tariff, captive consumption, renewable purchase obligation and generation based incentive etc. aimed at renewable energy development. This paper evaluates the effectiveness of state level incentives for the development of wind energy in India. Fixed effect panel data modelling technique of econometric analysis is used to analyse the data of 26 Indian states in 11 years. The results show that feed in tariff and captive consumption are the significant predictors of wind energy development. However, renewable purchase obligation does not affect wind energy significantly.

关键词: India     wind energy development     state incentives     econometric analysis     panel data    

Slope stability analysis based on big data and convolutional neural network

Yangpan FU; Mansheng LIN; You ZHANG; Gongfa CHEN; Yongjian LIU

《结构与土木工程前沿(英文)》 2022年 第16卷 第7期   页码 882-895 doi: 10.1007/s11709-022-0859-4

摘要: The Limit Equilibrium Method (LEM) is commonly used in traditional slope stability analyses, but it is time-consuming and complicated. Due to its complexity and nonlinearity involved in the evaluation process, it cannot provide a quick stability estimation when facing a large number of slopes. In this case, the convolutional neural network (CNN) provides a better alternative. A CNN model can process data quickly and complete a large amount of data analysis in a specific situation, while it needs a large number of training samples. It is difficult to get enough slope data samples in practical engineering. This study proposes a slope database generation method based on the LEM. Samples were amplified from 40 typical slopes, and a sample database consisting of 20000 slope samples was established. The sample database for slopes covered a wide range of slope geometries and soil layers’ physical and mechanical properties. The CNN trained with this sample database was then applied to the stability prediction of 15 real slopes to test the accuracy of the CNN model. The results show that the slope stability prediction method based on the CNN does not need complex calculation but only needs to provide the slope coordinate information and physical and mechanical parameters of the soil layers, and it can quickly obtain the safety factor and stability state of the slopes. Moreover, the prediction accuracy of the CNN trained by the sample database for slope stability analysis reaches more than 99%, and the comparisons with the BP neural network show that the CNN has significant superiority in slope stability evaluation. Therefore, the CNN can predict the safety factor of real slopes. In particular, the combination of typical actual slopes and generated slope data provides enough training and testing samples for the CNN, which improves the prediction speed and practicability of the CNN-based evaluation method in engineering practice.

关键词: slope stability     limit equilibrium method     convolutional neural network     database for slopes     big data    

A study on specialist or special disease clinics based on big data

null

《医学前沿(英文)》 2014年 第8卷 第3期   页码 376-381 doi: 10.1007/s11684-014-0356-9

摘要:

Correlation analysis and processing of massive medical information can be implemented through big data technology to find the relevance of different factors in the life cycle of a disease and to provide the basis for scientific research and clinical practice. This paper explores the concept of constructing a big medical data platform and introduces the clinical model construction. Medical data can be collected and consolidated by distributed computing technology. Through analysis technology, such as artificial neural network and grey model, a medical model can be built. Big data analysis, such as Hadoop, can be used to construct early prediction and intervention models as well as clinical decision-making model for specialist and special disease clinics. It establishes a new model for common clinical research for specialist and special disease clinics.

关键词: big data     correlation analysis     medical information     integration     data analysis     clinical model    

Industrial eco-efficiency and its spatial-temporal differentiation in China

Wei YANG, Fengjun JIN, Chengjin WANG, Chen LV

《环境科学与工程前沿(英文)》 2012年 第6卷 第4期   页码 559-568 doi: 10.1007/s11783-012-0400-4

摘要: The aim of this paper is to study the spatial-temporal differentiation of industrial eco-efficiency in China. Using methods based on the data envelopment analysis (DEA) model and exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA) and data from 1985, 1995, 2005, and 2008 of 30 provinces in China, the spatial-temporal pattern changes in industrial eco-efficiency are discussed. The results show that: first, the patterns of industrial eco-efficiency are dominated by clustering of relatively low efficiency provinces; second, spatial relationships between the industrial eco-efficiencies of different provinces changed slightly throughout the period and the provinces persistently exhibit spatial concentration of relatively low industrial eco-efficiency; finally, there is an obvious trend in the polarization of industrial eco-efficiency, i.e., the higher level spatial units are concentrated in eastern China, and the lower level spatial units are mainly in western and central China.

关键词: industrial eco-efficiency     data envelopment analysis (DEA) model     exploratory spatial data analysis (ESDA)    

Static-based early-damage detection using symbolic data analysis and unsupervised learning methods

João Pedro SANTOS,Christian CREMONA,André D. ORCESI,Paulo SILVEIRA,Luis CALADO

《结构与土木工程前沿(英文)》 2015年 第9卷 第1期   页码 1-16 doi: 10.1007/s11709-014-0277-3

摘要: A large amount of researches and studies have been recently performed by applying statistical and machine learning techniques for vibration-based damage detection. However, the global character inherent to the limited number of modal properties issued from operational modal analysis may be not appropriate for early-damage, which has generally a local character. The present paper aims at detecting this type of damage by using static SHM data and by assuming that early-damage produces dead load redistribution. To achieve this objective a data driven strategy is proposed, consisting of the combination of advanced statistical and machine learning methods such as principal component analysis, symbolic data analysis and cluster analysis. From this analysis it was observed that, under the noise levels measured on site, the proposed strategy is able to automatically detect stiffness reduction in stay cables reaching at least 1%.

关键词: structural health monitoring     early-damage detection     principal component analysis     symbolic data     symbolic dissimilarity measures     cluster analysis     numerical model     damage simulations    

Characteristics of plankton Hg bioaccumulations based on a global data set and the implications for aquatic

《环境科学与工程前沿(英文)》 2022年 第16卷 第3期 doi: 10.1007/s11783-021-1471-x

摘要:

• Hg bioaccumulation by phytoplankton varies among aquatic ecosystems.

关键词: Plankton     Hg bioaccumulation     Physiological characteristics     A cross-system analysis     Nutrient compositions     Global data set    

A data envelopment analysis of agricultural technical efficiency of Northwest Arid Areas in China

Yubao WANG, Lijie SHI, Haojie ZHANG, Shikun SUN

《农业科学与工程前沿(英文)》 2017年 第4卷 第2期   页码 195-207 doi: 10.15302/J-FASE-2017153

摘要: Severe resource shortage and waste of resource in agricultural production make it necessary to assess efficiency to increase productivity with high efficiency and ensure sustainable agricultural development. This paper adopted an input-oriented data envelopment analysis (DEA) method with the assumption of variable returns to scale to evaluate agricultural production efficiency of 100 major irrigation districts in Northwest China in 2010. Major findings of this paper were as follows: firstly, the average value of total technical efficiency, pure technical efficiency and scale efficiency of those irrigation districts in Northwest China were 0.770, 0.825 and 0.931, respectively; secondly, 30% of irrigation districts were technically efficient, while 42% and 32% of them showed pure technical and scale efficiency respectively. Among inefficient decision-making units, total technical efficiency score varied from 0.313 to 0.966, showing significant geographical differences, but geographical differences of pure technical efficiency was more consistent with that of total technical efficiency; thirdly, input redundancy was evident. Inputs of agricultural population, irrigation area, green water, blue water, consumption of fertilizer and agricultural machinery could be reduced by 34.88%, 40.19%, 43.85%, 47.10%, 41.53% and 42.21% respectively without reducing agricultural outputs. Furthermore, irrigation area, green water and blue water had relatively high slack movement though Northwest China which is short of water resources. Based on these results, this paper drew the following conclusions: First, there is huge potential for Northwest China to improve its agricultural production efficiency, and agro-technology not input scale had greater influence on improvement. Second, farmers needed proper guidance in order to reduce agricultural inputs and it is time to centralize agricultural management for overall agricultural inputs regulation and control.

关键词: agricultural production efficiency     DEA model     input redundancy     irrigation districts     Northwest Arid Areas in China    

大数据分析方法在战略性新兴产业技术预见中的应用

刘宇飞,周源,廖岭

《中国工程科学》 2016年 第18卷 第4期   页码 121-128 doi: 10.15302/J-SSCAE-2016.04.018

摘要:

作为创新战略管理工具,技术预见受到越来越多的重视。学术界对技术预见方法及其应用进行了大量的相关研究,但是对不同路径的新兴产业进行技术预见,尤其针对发展中国家的追赶型产业创新进行技术预见,仍是亟待深入探讨的理论难题。另外,大多数技术预见仍然以德尔菲法专家分析法为主,其制定过程主要还是依赖专家的知识经验,而缺乏客观的大数据支撑,在分析研究上往往偏向主观而缺乏信度和效度。本文将探索专利、文献等大数据应用于支撑我国新兴产业技术预见的理论和方法研究。

关键词: 技术预见     文献计量     专利分析     大数据分析     新兴产业    

Probabilistic stability analysis of Bazimen landslide with monitored rainfall data and water level fluctuations

Wengang ZHANG, Libin TANG, Hongrui LI, Lin WANG, Longfei CHENG, Tingqiang ZHOU, Xiang CHEN

《结构与土木工程前沿(英文)》 2020年 第14卷 第5期   页码 1247-1261 doi: 10.1007/s11709-020-0655-y

摘要: Landslide is a common geological hazard in reservoir areas and may cause great damage to local residents’ life and property. It is widely accepted that rainfall and periodic variation of water level are the two main factors triggering reservoir landslides. In this study, the Bazimen landslide located in the Three Gorges Reservoir (TGR) was back-analyzed as a case study. Based on the statistical features of the last 3-year monitored data and field instrumentations, the landslide susceptibility in an annual cycle and four representative periods was investigated via the deterministic and probabilistic analysis, respectively. The results indicate that the fluctuation of the reservoir water level plays a pivotal role in inducing slope failures, for the minimum stability coefficient occurs at the rapid decline period of water level. The probabilistic analysis results reveal that the initial sliding surface is the most important area influencing the occurrence of landslide, compared with other parts in the landslide. The seepage calculations from probabilistic analysis imply that rainfall is a relatively inferior factor affecting slope stability. This study aims to provide preliminary guidance on risk management and early warning in the TGR area.

关键词: reliability analysis     Bazimen landslide     rainfall     reservoir water level     slope stability    

Decomposition and decoupling analysis of electricity consumption carbon emissions in China

《工程管理前沿(英文)》   页码 486-498 doi: 10.1007/s42524-022-0215-3

摘要: Electricity consumption is one of the major contributors to greenhouse gas emissions. In this study, we build a power consumption carbon emission measurement model based on the operating margin factor. We use the decomposition and decoupling technology of logarithmic mean Divisia index method to quantify six effects (emission intensity, power generation structure, consumption electricity intensity, economic scale, population structure, and population scale) and comprehensively reflect the degree of dependence of electricity consumption carbon emissions on China’s economic development and population changes. Moreover, we utilize the decoupling model to analyze the decoupling state between carbon emissions and economic growth and identify corresponding energy efficiency policies. The results of this study provide a new perspective to understand carbon emission reduction potentials in the electricity use of China.

关键词: electricity consumption carbon emission measurement     LMDI model     decoupling model     data driven    

Study of operation optimization based on data mining technique in power plants

LI Jianqiang, LIU Jizhen, GU Junjie, NIU Chenglin

《能源前沿(英文)》 2007年 第1卷 第4期   页码 457-462 doi: 10.1007/s11708-007-0067-1

摘要: The determination of operation optimization value is very important for economic analysis and operation optimization in power plants. The operation optimization value determined by traditional methods usually cannot reflect the ac

关键词: traditional     optimization     determination     economic analysis     important    

三峡工程建设与运行期建筑物安全监测资料分析

杨爱明,段国学,马能武

《中国工程科学》 2011年 第13卷 第7期   页码 117-122

摘要:

以三峡工程17年的安全监测资料为依据,论述了各主要建筑物在施工建设及运行期变形、渗流渗压及应力应变的变化规律,细致分析和评价了各建筑物在不同施工阶段、不同环境状态下的运行状态及安全特征。监测结果表明:在分期蓄水及运行阶段,库水位的反复消长对大坝的变形有一定的影响;大坝基础的渗漏量在逐渐减少;高强度的开挖卸荷对岩石高边坡的变形影响明显;开挖结束后,高边坡变形快速收敛,船闸建筑物的变形较小,高耸建筑物及船闸建筑物表现出了明显的随温度变化的规律。得出了三峡工程各项安全指标在设计允许范围内建筑物运行安全等重要结论。

关键词: 三峡工程     建筑物     安全监测     资料分析    

A neural network-based production process modeling and variable importance analysis approach in corn

《化学科学与工程前沿(英文)》 2023年 第17卷 第3期   页码 358-371 doi: 10.1007/s11705-022-2190-y

摘要: Corn to sugar process has long faced the risks of high energy consumption and thin profits. However, it’s hard to upgrade or optimize the process based on mechanism unit operation models due to the high complexity of the related processes. Big data technology provides a promising solution as its ability to turn huge amounts of data into insights for operational decisions. In this paper, a neural network-based production process modeling and variable importance analysis approach is proposed for corn to sugar processes, which contains data preprocessing, dimensionality reduction, multilayer perceptron/convolutional neural network/recurrent neural network based modeling and extended weights connection method. In the established model, dextrose equivalent value is selected as the output, and 654 sites from the DCS system are selected as the inputs. LASSO analysis is first applied to reduce the data dimension to 155, then the inputs are dimensionalized to 50 by means of genetic algorithm optimization. Ultimately, variable importance analysis is carried out by the extended weight connection method, and 20 of the most important sites are selected for each neural network. The results indicate that the multilayer perceptron and recurrent neural network models have a relative error of less than 0.1%, which have a better prediction result than other models, and the 20 most important sites selected have better explicable performance. The major contributions derived from this work are of significant aid in process simulation model with high accuracy and process optimization based on the selected most important sites to maintain high quality and stable production for corn to sugar processes.

关键词: big data     corn to sugar factory     neural network     variable importance analysis    

标题 作者 时间 类型 操作

Answer for questions of repeated measurements of variance analysis and distribution test of data — Authors

期刊论文

Integrating storm surge modeling with traffic data analysis to evaluate the effectiveness of hurricane

期刊论文

Effectiveness of state incentives for promoting wind energy: A panel data examination

Deepak SANGROYA,Jogendra NAYAK

期刊论文

Slope stability analysis based on big data and convolutional neural network

Yangpan FU; Mansheng LIN; You ZHANG; Gongfa CHEN; Yongjian LIU

期刊论文

A study on specialist or special disease clinics based on big data

null

期刊论文

Industrial eco-efficiency and its spatial-temporal differentiation in China

Wei YANG, Fengjun JIN, Chengjin WANG, Chen LV

期刊论文

Static-based early-damage detection using symbolic data analysis and unsupervised learning methods

João Pedro SANTOS,Christian CREMONA,André D. ORCESI,Paulo SILVEIRA,Luis CALADO

期刊论文

Characteristics of plankton Hg bioaccumulations based on a global data set and the implications for aquatic

期刊论文

A data envelopment analysis of agricultural technical efficiency of Northwest Arid Areas in China

Yubao WANG, Lijie SHI, Haojie ZHANG, Shikun SUN

期刊论文

大数据分析方法在战略性新兴产业技术预见中的应用

刘宇飞,周源,廖岭

期刊论文

Probabilistic stability analysis of Bazimen landslide with monitored rainfall data and water level fluctuations

Wengang ZHANG, Libin TANG, Hongrui LI, Lin WANG, Longfei CHENG, Tingqiang ZHOU, Xiang CHEN

期刊论文

Decomposition and decoupling analysis of electricity consumption carbon emissions in China

期刊论文

Study of operation optimization based on data mining technique in power plants

LI Jianqiang, LIU Jizhen, GU Junjie, NIU Chenglin

期刊论文

三峡工程建设与运行期建筑物安全监测资料分析

杨爱明,段国学,马能武

期刊论文

A neural network-based production process modeling and variable importance analysis approach in corn

期刊论文